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What is the Boomerang Effect?
The forex market also has the tendency to be very quiet at certain times of the trading day. There is an evident stretch of a number of hours, starting after the United States forex session ends and prior to the beginning of the Asian session, which also tends to be very low in volume. Although the New Zealand and Australian forex markets are full of life during this time of day, the entire volume is relatively slim.
The reason behind this is the inactivity of the three biggest forex traders, namely Great Britain, United States and Japan, during this time of day. Under these situations, the currency pairs have the tendency to drift, and any movement in the market becomes highly suspicious.
Fading of the False Breakouts
During these hours, breakouts that happen are infamously unreliable since they almost always occur on very low volume. More so, a trending technique is also inappropriate due to the lack of direction from the market. Since any movements that occur at this time of day are undependable and likely to retrace, the traders can create a strategy that is designed to capitalize on false breakout events through fading or trading against them.
This specific time of day is also considered as the beginning of the forex trading day. Due to this fact, it is also the same time that a number of market makers choose to charge or credit interest. Nevertheless, unlike a strategy involving an interest rate arbitrage, this kind of short-term trade is not designed to collect interest.
The traders can integrate a defense against interest rate charges by choose to enter order just after 17:00 Eastern time. This would normally link to 22:00 GMT during standard hours or 21:00 GMT during Daylight Saving Time. Either way, the time of day for this kind of trade will constantly be just after 17:00 Eastern U.S. time.
The Strategy Used
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This kind of strategy is exclusively designed for the EUR/USD currency pair. The agenda is to enter or sell order above the market to fade a move higher and enter a buy order underneath the market to trade against a move lower, at the same time. In both of these cases, the traders assume that any movement in whichever direction is false and the exchange is likely to retrace.
Such a directional move can be caused by a large order, which would not have the ability to move the market under normal situations. More so, since the volume is extremely low during this time of day, the orders have the ability to generate market movement under thin trading circumstances.
How to Set the Parameters
The buy order will be situated 15 pips below the opening price, while the sell order at 15 pips above. The traders stop will also be located 15 pips away, thus creating a ratio of 1:1 for the trade.
Fixed-pip parameters can be set, since this kind of trade is only for the EUR/USD currency pair. However, if the trader attempts to use this technique on another currency pair, the parameters should be altered and adjusted to account for the difference in volatility. Additionally, the trader is also required to consider the kind of spread for most currencies, which is wider than the EUR/USD pair.
This kind of strategy is designed for quick profits, hence perfect for the EUR/USD pair. This currency pair tends to consist of a narrow spread, making it ideal for short-term trading.
Entering the Trade
Entering a trade can be done by considering an example when the opening price on a five-minute EUR/USD chart is 1.2593, at 17:00 Eastern U.S. time. The traders must place order 15 pips above the opening price at about 1.2598. Additionally, he must place a buy order 15 pips below the open at about 1.2568.
If the trader does not execute the trade within two hours, he or she must cancel both the orders. During that point, there is no valid reason for placing the trade since the Asian markets are starting to wake up and the volume and volatility are about to increase. Moves are more likely to be authentic, when real volume enters the market. In this instance, the strategy that fades breakouts would be inappropriate.
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